- 规划与建设
- 文章编号：1009-6000(2025)11-0087-07
- 中图分类号：TU984 文献标识码：B
- Doi：10.3969/j.issn.1009-6000.2025.11.014
- 作者简介：金书琪，美国弗吉尼亚理工大学地理系，硕士研究生；
甄峰，南京大学建筑与城市规划学院，教授，博士生导师。
- 体育设施区域影响的时空衰减效应及其异质性特征——以 39 个大型体育场馆为例
- Spatiotemporal Decay and Heterogeneity in the Regional Impacts of Sports Facilities: Evidence from 39 Large Stadiums in China
- 金书琪 甄峰
- JIN Shuqi ZHEN Feng
- 摘要：
体育场馆作为城市重要的公共基础设施，不仅影响区域经济发展，更对周边环境、交通、居民生活等产生深远影响。为有效识别体育场馆建设对周边区域影响的空间边界与时间跨度，文章整合多源地理数据，构建基础发展指标和综合活力指标对区域发展活力水平进行量化，通过中断时间序列模型、固定效应模型对空间影响范围进行识别，并对影响周期进行检验。通过对全国 39 个大型体育场馆的案例分析表明，体育场馆对周边区域活力的影响存在显著时空局限性。空间维度上，5 km 可视为影响效应的临界阈值，超出该范围后影响效应显著减弱；时间维度上，影响主要集中于建成后前两年，随后持续减弱。进一步分析发现，体育场馆的影响存在显著个体差异，设施建设本身无法保障其活力提升，缺乏配套功能的场馆难以将事件性的赛事活动转化为持续的区域活力。 - 关键词：
体育场馆；区域发展；活力评估；时空衰减 - Abstract: As major public infrastructure, sports stadiums contribute not only to regional economic development but also exert long-term influence on the surrounding environment, transportation, and daily life. To define the spatial boundary and temporal duration of these effects, this study integrates multi-source geospatial data to measure regional development, combining baseline indicators with a composite index of urban vitality. Interrupted time series (ITS) and fixed-effects models are applied to identify the spatial extent of stadium-led impacts and assess their temporal dynamics. Evidence from 39 large stadiums in China shows that their impact on surrounding vitality is limited in both space and time. Spatially, the impact is most pronounced within 5 km, with a marked decline observed beyond that range. Temporally, the effect is strongest in the first two years after completion and diminishes steadily over time. The effects also vary significantly across stadiums. In many cases, venues lacking supportive functions and urban integration fail to convert short-term, event-driven surges into sustained local vitality.
- Key words: sports stadium; regional development; vitality evaluation; spatiotemporal decay